MORAL VICTORY'S BOWL PROJECTIONS COMPARED TO ESPN.COM'S

Well, Mark Schlabach and Bruce Feldman of espn.com agree with me that Vanderbilt's a good bet to play Tulsa in the Liberty Bowl. Of course, the Commodores have to win at least one more game. Schlabach and Feldman also agree that the SEC should only get eight bids and that Arkansas, Auburn, Miss State and Tennessee likely won't be eligible at the end of the season.

Here's their SEC-related bowl picks, next to mine:

BCS CHAMPIONSHIP
Moral Victory: Florida vs. Penn State (another championship game blowout)
Schlabach: Florida vs. Penn State
Feldman: Florida vs. Penn State

SUGAR
Moral Victory: Alabama vs. Boise State
Schlabach: Alabama vs. Texas (that would be a great game)
Feldman: Alabama vs. Boise State

CAPITAL ONE
Moral Victory: Georgia vs. Michigan State
Schlabach: Georgia vs. Michigan State
Feldman: LSU vs. Michigan State

COTTON
Moral Victory: LSU vs. Texas Tech
Schlabach: LSU vs. Oklahoma
Feldman: Georgia vs. Missouri

OUTBACK
Moral Victory: South Carolina vs. Northwestern
Schlabach: South Carolina vs. Northwestern
Feldman: South Carolina vs. Ohio State (the Buckeyes could still make the BCS)

CHICK-FIL-A
Moral Victory: Ole Miss vs. Florida State
Schlabach: Ole Miss vs. Florida State
Feldman: Ole Miss vs. North Carolina

MUSIC CITY
Moral Victory: Kentucky vs. Miami-Fla.
Schlabach: Kentucky vs. Virginia
Feldman: Kentucky vs. Miami-Fla.

LIBERTY
Moral Victory: Vanderbilt vs. Tulsa
Schlabach: Vanderbilt vs. Tulsa
Feldman: Vanderbilt vs. Tulsa

If Vanderbilt wins one game, it will be a lock for the Liberty Bowl unless that one game is against Kentucky and the Wildcats lose out the rest of the season. Then the Music City Bowl might take the Commodores.

If Vanderbilt finishes 8-4 or 7-5, it could also make a run at the Music City Bowl, or if Ole Miss or South Carolina stumble down the stretch, even the Chick-Fil-A or the Outback Bowl.

But any Vanderbilt fan or even SEC fan knows the Commodores are no lock for a sixth win. This is a huge hump to get over, but once it happens, look out.

Like I've said before, let's just get through the Florida game without losing anybody to injury. Urban Meyer's kind of a jerk, but he's not going to be calling timeouts like he did against Georgia to rub our face in it.

And then the real season starts. We've got a chance to win — or to lose — our three remaining games. We've got a fragile psyche right now, but if we can steal a victory in Lexington and get over this hump, we could go ahead and win out.

In the meantime, I'm curious as to what changes will be made to the offense for the Florida game — and for the Kentucky game.