Thursday, October 1, 2009

Moral Victory! Predictions for Saturday's SEC games

We're on a roll, posting a 32-3 (91.4%) record in SEC games to date, thanks mostly to all the mismatches played so far.

So let's roll the dice again and pick this week's games:

Alabama at Kentucky: OK, we won't roll the dice. We'll just pick the Tide to roll. Crimson Tide 27-7.

LSU at Georgia: So far, Les Miles has won every game solely because he has superior talent. On Saturday he faces a team more his speed. Georgia possesses an impressive tendency to ring up big points and big plays in big games (see LSU-UGA last year), and an alarming tendency to play down to lesser opponents (see Arizona State last week and Vandy the last five years). We think the Dawgs step up this week to an opponent with some serious firepower. Bulldogs 31-28.

South Carolina State at South Carolina: Yawn. Gamecocks 30-10.

Ole Miss at Vandy: Don't think this will be as easy for the Rebels as the oddsmakers think. But the Commodores struggle mightily against teams with massive defensive lines, and Ole Miss has one of the league's biggest and best. Vandy will keep the scoring down and likely frustrate Snead, but won't be able to generate the running game it needs to set up the pass — or vice-versa. Rebels 21-13.

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas: The undefeated Aggies are rolling up yards and points against lesser competition, and should keep it up against the Razorbacks, who sport the nation's worst pass efficiency defense. Of course, Mallett can sling it around against anybody, well, except Alabama. Should be a fun game in Cowboy Stadium, a setting which should inspire the Aggies a touch more. Aggies 34-28.

Georgia Tech at Miss State: OK, so you can't do the jump pass with a 4-foot-10 quarterback. Dan Mullen gets it. The Bulldog defense is big and pretty fast and could make it a game against the Yellow Jackets, and it should be an interesting chess match between offensive geniuses Mullen and Johnson. Call it... Yellow Jackets 20-17.

Auburn at Tennessee: The game of the week in the SEC. Auburn has a far superior offense, and Tennessee has a far superior defense. Should be a nice battle between Gus (the offensive coordinator, not the field-goal kicking mule) and Daddy. Unless Daddy's boys can score some points, Auburn should win in the end. Tigers 23-20.

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