We'd predicted Vandy to be 2-2 right now, but the UConn pick, which was wishful thinking to begin with, didn't work out. So now we're 1-3.
Can we still finish 6-6?
Our forecast hinges on everything clicking at the end of the season and us finishing the season with an uncharacteristic three victories, over Kentucky, Tennessee and Wake Forest, all games that appeared and still appear to be possibly winnable.
All we need is to enter that stretch at 3-6, which means we must pick up two wins in our next five games:
• Eastern Michigan
• At Georgia
• South Carolina
• At Arkansas
Obviously, we've got to take care of business against EMU, which mainly involves not telling ourselves that their uniforms make them look an awful lot like unbeaten Michigan State.
That would make us 2-3. Our best bet to pick up another win before the final stretch would be to upset either Georgia on the road or South Carolina at home. If we're headed to Arkansas needing to win four of our last five games to become bowl eligible, then we're cooked and we'll need to pull Woody Widenhofer out of his toll booth in Destin to give us one of his "Have fun and expect to win" pep talks.
Speaking of expecting to win, I'm looking forward to playing a team we're supposed to beat. Enjoy it, because it's the only time this season we're playing somebody we're supposed to beat.